Donald Trump is consistently down in the polls by 5 to 7 points nationally, and this has resulted in poll leads for Hillary Clinton in traditionally Republican states such as Arizona and North Carolina. However, Trump's unpopularity has not yet spread down ballot to the Senate races. There are six races that I've classified as toss-ups (poll margin within three percentage points). Five of them are still shown in the Republican column, as they have been since September 14. If Trump's campaign failures had spread down ballot, it seems like these close races would have tilted slightly to Democrats by now, but polling has not yet indicated that this is true, at least not on a consistent basis. However, these six senate contests (Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Florida and Missouri) are so close that this could all change with one or two more polls showing good results for Democrats.
Senate Race Ratings:
Solid Dem
37 - California** - Harris or Sanchez
38 - New York - Schumer +43.0 (Schumer 71.3 - Long 28.3)
39 - Hawaii - Schatz +~40
40 - Vermont - Leahy +~40
41 - Maryland - Van Hollen +30.0 (Van Hollen 64.0 - Szeliga 34.0)
42 - Connecticut - Blumenthal +26.5 (Blumenthal 62.5 - Carter 36.0)
43 - Oregon - Wyden +24.8 (Wyden 61.1 - Callahan 36.4)
44 - Washington - Murray +17.5 (Murray 58.8 - Vance 43.4)
45 - Colorado - Bennet +14.3 (Bennet 55.0 - Glenn 40.7)
Likely Dem
46 - Illinois - Duckworth +7.9 (Duckworth 51.0 - Kirk 43.1)
Lean Dem
47 - Indiana - Bayh +5.5 (Bayh 50.6 - Young 45.2)
48 - Wisconsin - Feingold +5.0 (Feingold 52.5 - Johnson 47.5)
Toss Up
49 - Pennsylvania - McGinty +0.2 (McGinty 49.0 - Toomey 48.8)
51 - Nevada - Heck +0.01 (Heck 47.88 - Cortez Masto 47.87)
50 - North Carolina - Burr +0.6 (Burr 48.7 - Ross 48.1)
49 - Missouri - Blunt +1.7 (Blunt 49.8 - Kander 48.1)
48 - New Hampshire - Ayotte +2.1 (Ayotte 49.4 - Hassan 47.4)
47 - Florida - Rubio +2.2 (Rubio 50.3 - Murphy 48.1)
Lean GOP
None
Likely GOP
46 - Kentucky - Rand Paul +9.1 (Rand Paul 54.8 - Jim Gray 45.7)
Solid GOP
45 - Arizona - McCain +12.1 (McCain 52.8 - Kirkpatrick 40.7)
44 - Louisiana* - Kennedy +13.0 (Kennedy 56.5 - Campbell 43.5)
43 - Georgia - Isakson +14.1 (Isakson 54.6 - Barksdale 40.5)
42 - Ohio - Portman +14.5 (Portman 56.5 - Strickland 42.0)
41 - Iowa - Grassley +14.6 (Grassley 57.1 - Judge 42.5)
40 - Arkansas - Boozman +18.2 (Boozman 54.4 - Eldridge 36.2)
39 - South Carolina - Scott +22.4 (Scott 58.5 - Dixon 36.1)38 - Kansas - Moran +25.1 (Moran 60.1 - Wiesner 35.0)
37 - Alabama - Shelby +~30
36 - South Dakota - Thune +~30
35 - Utah - Lee +33.8 (Lee 64.4 - Snow 30.6)
34 - North Dakota - Hoeven +~35
33 - Alaska - Murkowski +35.5 (Murkowski 54.3 - Metcalfe 18.8)
32 - Idaho - Crapo +~36
31 - Oklahoma - Lankford +~40
Today’s prediction is based on the following polls:
| Alabama | Adjusted: | R | +30.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Shelby) | Democrat (Crumpton) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Shelby) | Democrat (Crumpton) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | ||||||||
| 2 | ||||||||
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Alaska | Adjusted: | R | +35.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Murkowski) | Democrat (Metcalfe) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Murkowski) | Democrat (Metcalfe) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Moore | 10/6 | 49 | 9 | -40 | 52.5 | 20.5 | -32.0 |
| 2 | Alaska Survey Research | 10/2 | 50 | 12 | -38 | 56.2 | 17.2 | -39.0 |
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Arizona | Adjusted: | R | +12.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (McCain) | Democrat (Kirkpatrick) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (McCain) | Democrat (Kirkpatrick) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 48 | 45 | -3 | 51.0 | 48.0 | -3.0 |
| 2 | ASU (Morrison/Cronkite) | 10/15 | 52 | 40 | -12 | 52.0 | 39.6 | -12.4 |
| 3 | HighGround (AZ) | 10/14 | 45 | 35 | -10 | 51.0 | 41.0 | -10.0 |
| 4 | Emerson College | 10/4 | 52 | 36 | -15 | 53.7 | 39.6 | -14.1 |
| 5 | Insights West | 9/14 | 53 | 35 | -18 | 58.5 | 40.5 | -18.0 |
| 6 | Marist | 9/8 | 57 | 38 | -19 | 59.2 | 40.9 | -18.3 |
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Arkansas | Adjusted: | R | +18.2 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Boozman) | Democrat (Eldridge) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Boozman) | Democrat (Eldridge) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Hendrix College | 9/17 | 55 | 29 | -26 | 57.9 | 34.6 | -23.3 |
| 2 | Emerson College | 9/13 | 44 | 30 | -15 | 51.0 | 37.8 | -13.2 |
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Colorado | Adjusted: | D | +14.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Glenn) | Democrat (Bennet) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Glenn) | Democrat (Bennet) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Quinnipiac | 10/16 | 38 | 56 | 18 | 40.7 | 59.4 | +18.7 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 42 | 52 | 10 | 45.0 | 55.0 | +10.0 |
| 3 | Magellan | 10/13 | 32 | 47 | 15 | 37.7 | 53.3 | +15.6 |
| 4 | Gravis | 10/13 | 38 | 48 | 10 | 40.7 | 58.3 | +17.6 |
| 5 | Monmouth U. | 10/2 | 35 | 53 | 18 | 37.8 | 55.2 | +17.4 |
| 6 | PPP | 9/28 | 34 | 44 | 10 | 41.4 | 51.6 | +10.2 |
| 7 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 9/25 | 43 | 53 | 10 | 44.0 | 54.1 | +10.1 |
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Connecticut | Adjusted: | D | +26.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Carter) | Democrat (Blumenthal) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Carter) | Democrat (Blumenthal) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Emerson College | 9/5 | 33 | 54 | 21 | 38.9 | 61.2 | +22.3 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 6/5 | 30 | 60 | 30 | 33.2 | 63.9 | +30.7 |
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Florida | Adjusted: | R | +2.2 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Rubio) | Democrat (Murphy) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Rubio) | Democrat (Murphy) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Quinnipiac | 10/16 | 49 | 47 | -2 | 50.7 | 49.4 | -1.3 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 51 | 45 | -6 | 53.0 | 47.0 | -6.0 |
| 3 | Gravis | 10/13 | 44 | 36 | -8 | 48.2 | 50.8 | +2.6 |
| 4 | PPP | 10/13 | 44 | 38 | -6 | 49.9 | 44.1 | -5.8 |
| 5 | Opinion Savvy | 10/11 | 48 | 44 | -4 | 52.2 | 47.9 | -4.3 |
| 6 | Marist | 10/5 | 48 | 46 | -2 | 49.7 | 48.4 | -1.3 |
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Georgia | Adjusted: | R | +14.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Isakson) | Democrat (Barksdale) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Isakson) | Democrat (Barksdale) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 50 | 46 | -4 | 52.0 | 48.0 | -4.0 |
| 2 | Landmark | 10/12 | 50 | 37 | -14 | 54.6 | 40.5 | -14.1 |
| 3 | JMC Analytics | 9/22 | 41 | 28 | -13 | 54.1 | 42.0 | -12.1 |
| 4 | Quinnipiac | 9/21 | 55 | 34 | -21 | 59.7 | 39.4 | -20.3 |
| 5 | Monmouth U. | 9/18 | 50 | 34 | -16 | 55.3 | 38.7 | -16.6 |
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Illinois | Adjusted: | D | +7.9 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Kirk) | Democrat (Duckworth) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Kirk) | Democrat (Duckworth) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | GS Strategy Group | 10/5 | 37 | 41 | 4 | 41.0 | 53.0 | +12.0 |
| 2 | SIU-Carbondale | 10/2 | 34 | 48 | 14 | 39.2 | 53.6 | +14.4 |
| 3 | Normington Petts | 9/29 | 37 | 46 | 9 | 50.1 | 49.9 | -0.2 |
| 4 | Emerson College | 9/20 | 39 | 41 | 2 | 43.1 | 46.1 | +3.0 |
| 5 | Loras College | 9/16 | 36 | 41 | 5 | 47.4 | 51.0 | +3.6 |
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Indiana | Adjusted: | D | +5.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Todd Young) | Democrat (Evan Bayh) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Todd Young) | Democrat (Evan Bayh) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Ball State U. | 10/16 | 43 | 49 | 6 | 46.0 | 52.0 | +6.0 |
| 2 | Monmouth U. | 10/13 | 42 | 48 | 6 | 44.3 | 49.7 | +5.4 |
| 3 | Pub. Op. Strategies (POS) | 10/11 | 40 | 39 | -1 | 42.3 | 49.7 | +7.4 |
| 4 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 10/10 | 39 | 42 | 3 | 48.5 | 51.5 | +3.0 |
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Iowa | Adjusted: | R | +14.6 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Grassley) | Democrat (Judge) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Grassley) | Democrat (Judge) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 56 | 40 | -16 | 58.5 | 42.5 | -16.0 |
| 2 | A. Power (Google C.S.) | 10/14 | 56 | 41 | -15 | 56.6 | 42.4 | -14.2 |
| 3 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 10/10 | 46 | 36 | -10 | 54.0 | 44.0 | -10.0 |
| 4 | Selzer | 10/6 | 53 | 36 | -17 | 57.5 | 40.5 | -17.0 |
| 5 | Loras College | 9/22 | 54 | 37 | -17 | 59.1 | 41.0 | -18.1 |
| 6 | Quinnipiac | 9/21 | 55 | 43 | -12 | 55.7 | 44.4 | -11.3 |
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Kansas | Adjusted: | R | +25.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Moran) | Democrat (Wiesner) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Moran) | Democrat (Wiesner) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyUSA | 10/15 | 56 | 31 | -25 | 60.1 | 35.0 | -25.1 |
| 2 | ||||||||
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Kentucky | Adjusted: | R | +9.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Rand Paul) | Democrat (Jim Gray) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Rand Paul) | Democrat (Jim Gray) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Babbage (Google C.S.) | 10/15 | 33 | 27 | -7 | 53.0 | 47.1 | -5.9 |
| 2 | Harper | 8/1 | 50 | 38 | -12 | 56.7 | 44.4 | -12.3 |
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Louisiana | Adjusted: | R | +13.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Kennedy) | Democrat (Campbell) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Kennedy) | Democrat (Campbell) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Remington | 8/30 | 51 | 27 | -24 | 56.5 | 43.5 | -13.0 |
| 2 | ||||||||
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Maryland | Adjusted: | D | +30.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Szeliga) | Democrat (Van Hollen) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Szeliga) | Democrat (Van Hollen) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | University of Maryland | 9/30 | 29 | 58 | 29 | 32.5 | 61.5 | +29.0 |
| 2 | Goucher College | 9/20 | 24 | 54 | 30 | 34.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 |
| 3 | OpinionWorks | 8/30 | 26 | 55 | 29 | 35.3 | 64.8 | +29.5 |
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Missouri | Adjusted: | R | +1.7 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Blunt) | Democrat (Kander) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Blunt) | Democrat (Kander) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | A. Power (Google C.S.) | 10/14 | 44 | 51 | 7 | 45.0 | 52.7 | +7.7 |
| 2 | Monmouth U. | 10/11 | 46 | 44 | -2 | 49.8 | 47.2 | -2.6 |
| 3 | Emerson College | 9/13 | 40 | 42 | 2 | 43.3 | 47.0 | +3.7 |
| 4 | Remington | 9/2 | 47 | 40 | -7 | 50.3 | 49.8 | -0.5 |
| 5 | PPP | 8/27 | 47 | 43 | -4 | 51.9 | 48.1 | -3.8 |
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Nevada | Adjusted: | R | +0.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Heck) | Democrat (Cortez Masto) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Heck) | Democrat (Cortez Masto) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Monmouth U. | 10/17 | 45 | 42 | -3 | 47.3 | 43.7 | -3.6 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 48 | 47 | -1 | 50.5 | 49.5 | -1.0 |
| 3 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 10/15 | 45 | 52 | 7 | 45.5 | 52.6 | +7.1 |
| 4 | YouGov | 10/14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 48.8 | 47.2 | -1.6 |
| 5 | JMC Analytics | 10/13 | 41 | 47 | 6 | 41.4 | 48.1 | +6.7 |
| 6 | Pub. Op. Strategies (POS) | 10/12 | 47 | 44 | -3 | 47.3 | 48.7 | +1.4 |
| 7 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 10/11 | 40 | 41 | 1 | 48.5 | 43.6 | -4.9 |
| 8 | PPP | 10/11 | 39 | 43 | 4 | 52.4 | 47.6 | -4.8 |
| 9 | ||||||||
| New Hampshire | Adjusted: | R | +2.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Ayotte) | Democrat (Hassan) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Ayotte) | Democrat (Hassan) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 42 | 47 | 5 | 42.5 | 47.5 | +5.0 |
| 2 | MassINC | 10/12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 49.4 | 49.6 | +0.2 |
| 3 | UMass Lowell | 10/11 | 45 | 44 | -1 | 48.0 | 47.1 | -0.9 |
| 4 | PPP | 10/9 | 43 | 44 | 1 | 52.7 | 47.4 | -5.3 |
| 5 | Suffolk U. | 10/5 | 47 | 41 | -6 | 51.4 | 44.7 | -6.7 |
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| New York | Adjusted: | D | +43.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Long) | Democrat (Schumer) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Long) | Democrat (Schumer) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Siena | 10/17 | 27 | 66 | 39 | 29.9 | 69.2 | +39.3 |
| 2 | Marist | 9/23 | 24 | 70 | 46 | 26.7 | 73.4 | +46.7 |
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| North Carolina | Adjusted: | R | +0.6 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Burr) | Democrat (Ross) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Burr) | Democrat (Ross) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyUSA | 10/16 | 45 | 43 | -2 | 48.1 | 46.0 | -2.1 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 42 | 48 | 6 | 43.5 | 49.5 | +6.0 |
| 3 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 10/15 | 48 | 47 | -1 | 49.0 | 48.1 | -0.9 |
| 4 | Marist | 10/12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 48.7 | 49.4 | +0.7 |
| 5 | Emerson College | 10/12 | 45 | 43 | -2 | 48.5 | 48.0 | -0.5 |
| 6 | Suffolk U. | 10/12 | 40 | 36 | -3 | 49.2 | 45.3 | -3.9 |
| 7 | High Point U. | 10/6 | 47 | 42 | -5 | 49.5 | 44.5 | -5.0 |
| 8 | Quinnipiac | 10/2 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 49.2 | 49.9 | +0.7 |
| 9 | Selzer | 10/2 | 44 | 46 | 2 | 48.0 | 50.0 | +2.0 |
| North Dakota | Adjusted: | R | +35.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Hoeven) | Democrat (Glassheim) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Hoeven) | Democrat (Glassheim) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | ||||||||
| 2 | ||||||||
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Ohio | Adjusted: | R | +14.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Portman) | Democrat (Strickland) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Portman) | Democrat (Strickland) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Quinnipiac | 10/16 | 54 | 41 | -13 | 55.7 | 43.4 | -12.3 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 56 | 39 | -17 | 58.5 | 41.5 | -17.0 |
| 3 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 10/15 | 56 | 40 | -16 | 57.0 | 41.1 | -15.9 |
| 4 | Marist | 10/12 | 55 | 37 | -18 | 57.2 | 39.9 | -17.3 |
| 5 | Emerson College | 10/12 | 47 | 30 | -17 | 54.7 | 39.0 | -15.7 |
| 6 | Baldwin Wallace U. | 10/11 | 48 | 36 | -12 | 56.5 | 44.5 | -12.0 |
| 7 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 10/10 | 47 | 33 | -14 | 56.0 | 42.0 | -14.0 |
| 8 | YouGov | 10/7 | 49 | 38 | -11 | 54.8 | 42.2 | -12.6 |
| 9 | PPP | 10/6 | 51 | 36 | -15 | 56.9 | 42.1 | -14.8 |
| Oregon | Adjusted: | D | +24.8 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Callahan) | Democrat (Wyden) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Callahan) | Democrat (Wyden) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyUSA | 10/12 | 32 | 54 | 22 | 36.6 | 58.5 | +21.9 |
| 2 | Gravis | 10/4 | 33 | 52 | 19 | 36.2 | 63.8 | +27.6 |
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Pennsylvania | Adjusted: | D | +0.2 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Toomey) | Democrat (McGinty) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Toomey) | Democrat (McGinty) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Quinnipiac | 10/16 | 49 | 45 | -4 | 51.7 | 48.4 | -3.3 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | Selzer | 10/11 | 45 | 47 | 2 | 48.0 | 50.0 | +2.0 |
| 4 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 10/10 | 40 | 39 | -1 | 50.0 | 49.0 | -1.0 |
| 5 | Susquehanna / VSS | 10/9 | 42 | 38 | -4 | 48.1 | 44.0 | -4.1 |
| 6 | YouGov | 10/7 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 50.3 | 48.7 | -1.6 |
| 7 | Marist | 10/7 | 44 | 48 | 4 | 46.7 | 51.4 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Monmouth U. | 10/3 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 48.8 | 48.2 | -0.6 |
| 9 | Franklin & Marshall | 10/2 | 35 | 41 | 6 | 45.8 | 52.2 | +6.4 |
| South Carolina | Adjusted: | R | +22.4 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Tim Scott) | Democrat (Dixon) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Tim Scott) | Democrat (Dixon) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Starboard Comms. | 9/9 | 58 | 22 | -36 | 62.0 | 34.0 | -28.0 |
| 2 | PPP | 8/10 | 45 | 28 | -17 | 54.9 | 38.1 | -16.8 |
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| South Dakota | Adjusted: | R | +30.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Thune) | Democrat (Williams) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Thune) | Democrat (Williams) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | ||||||||
| 2 | ||||||||
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Utah | Adjusted: | R | +33.8 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Mike Lee) | Democrat (Snow) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Mike Lee) | Democrat (Snow) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Monmouth U. | 10/12 | 60 | 31 | -29 | 63.3 | 33.7 | -29.6 |
| 2 | Dan Jones & Assocs. | 9/9 | 60 | 23 | -37 | 65.5 | 27.6 | -37.9 |
| 3 | ||||||||
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Washington | Adjusted: | D | +17.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Vance) | Democrat (Murray) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Vance) | Democrat (Murray) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Emerson College | 9/27 | 41 | 48 | 6 | 44.5 | 52.2 | +7.7 |
| 2 | Insights West | 9/14 | 25 | 46 | 21 | 38.5 | 59.5 | +21.0 |
| 3 | Elway | 8/13 | 34 | 52 | 18 | 41.3 | 58.8 | +17.5 |
| 4 | ||||||||
| 5 | ||||||||
| 6 | ||||||||
| 7 | ||||||||
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
| Wisconsin | Adjusted: | D | +5.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Johnson) | Democrat (Feingold) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Johnson) | Democrat (Feingold) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Monmouth U. | 10/18 | 44 | 52 | 8 | 45.3 | 52.7 | +7.4 |
| 2 | Saint Norbert | 10/16 | 42 | 53 | 11 | 43.7 | 54.3 | +10.7 |
| 3 | SurveyMonkey | 10/16 | 46 | 51 | 5 | 47.5 | 52.5 | +5.0 |
| 4 | A. Power (Google C.S.) | 10/14 | 39 | 58 | 19 | 40.1 | 59.7 | +19.7 |
| 5 | Marquette | 10/9 | 46 | 48 | 2 | 49.0 | 51.1 | +2.1 |
| 6 | YouGov | 10/7 | 42 | 45 | 3 | 49.3 | 50.7 | +1.4 |
| 7 | Loras College | 10/5 | 45 | 40 | -5 | 51.9 | 45.6 | -6.3 |
| 8 | ||||||||
| 9 | ||||||||
No comments:
Post a Comment