It's the final weekend before the election, and polling indicates that the race for control of the U.S. Senate could not be tighter. With the release of the final WTHR / Howey Politics Indiana / Public Opinion Strategies poll in Indiana, Indiana's senate race finally went Republican, and I now show Todd Young leading Evan Bayh by less than 1%. Democrats would be down were it not for some recent favorable polls for New Hampshire governor Maggie Hassan in her bid to unseat Republican senator Kelly Ayotte. I show Hassan up by a hundredth of a percentage point, 49.15% to 49.14%, which in the 2014 election would have been less than fifty votes, or approximately five Dixville Notches.
Senate Race Ratings:
Solid Dem
37 - California** - Harris or Sanchez
38 - New York - Schumer +40.2 (Schumer 70.0 - Long 29.9)
39 - Hawaii - Schatz +~40
40 - Vermont - Leahy +~40
41 - Maryland - Van Hollen +31.1 (Van Hollen 64.4 - Szeliga 33.3)
42 - Oregon - Wyden +27.6 (Wyden 63.8 - Callahan 36.2)
43 - Connecticut - Blumenthal +22.3 (Blumenthal 61.2 - Carter 38.9)
44 - Washington - Murray +22.3 (Murray 60.9 - Vance 38.6)
45 - Illinois - Duckworth +13.5 (Duckworth 55.3 - Kirk 41.9)
Likely Dem
46 - Colorado - Bennet +8.8 (Bennet 52.9 - Glenn 44.1)
Lean Dem
47 - Wisconsin - Feingold +4.3 (Feingold 51.0 - Johnson 46.7)
48 - Pennsylvania - McGinty +3.4 (McGinty 50.9 - Toomey 47.5)
Toss Up
49 - Nevada - Cortez Masto +0.4 (Cortez Masto 49.7 - Heck 49.3)
50 - New Hampshire - Hassan +0.01 (Hassan 49.15 - Ayotte 49.14)
50 - Indiana - Young +0.6 (Young 48.2 - Bayh 47.6)
49 - Missouri - Blunt +0.8 (Blunt 48.6 - Kander 47.8)
48 - North Carolina - Burr +1.8 (Burr 50.0 - Ross 48.2)
Lean GOP
47 - Florida - Rubio +5.2 (Rubio 51.7 - Murphy 46.5)
Likely GOP
46 - Kentucky - Rand Paul +7.9 (Rand Paul 53.9 - Jim Gray 46.1)
45 - Georgia - Isakson +10.0 (Isakson 52.1 - Barksdale 42.1)
44 - Arizona - McCain +10.3 (McCain 53.7 - Kirkpatrick 43.4)
Solid GOP
43 - Louisiana* - Kennedy +13.0 (Kennedy 56.5 - Campbell 43.5)
42 - Ohio - Portman +13.3 (Portman 54.7 - Strickland 41.4)
41 - Arkansas - Boozman +15.5 (Boozman 55.3 - Eldridge 39.9)
40 - Iowa - Grassley +15.9 (Grassley 57.5 - Judge 41.6)
39 - South Carolina - Scott +20.4 (Scott 58.5 - Dixon 38.1)
38 - Kansas - Moran +24.1 (Moran 59.1 - Wiesner 35.0)
37 - South Dakota - Thune +28.5 (Thune 64.3 - Williams 35.8)
36 - Utah - Lee +33.1 (Lee 63.9 - Snow 30.9)
35 - Alabama - Shelby +33.9 (Shelby 66.8 - Crumpton 32.9)
34 - Alaska - Murkowski +35.7 (Murkowski 56.2 - Metcalfe 20.5)
33 - Idaho - Crapo +~36
32 - Oklahoma - Lankford +~40
31 - North Dakota - Hoeven +44.0 (Hoeven 72.0 - Glassheim - 28.0)
Today’s prediction is based on the following polls:
| Alabama | Adjusted: | R | +33.9 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Shelby) | Democrat (Crumpton) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Shelby) | Democrat (Crumpton) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 60 | 36 | -23 | 62 | 38 | -23.4 |
| 2 | A. Power (Google C.S.) | 10/20 | 71 | 26 | -45 | 72 | 28 | -44.3 |
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| Alaska | Adjusted: | R | +35.7 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Murkowski) | Democrat (Metcalfe) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Murkowski) | Democrat (Metcalfe) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 52 | 26 | -26 | 63.0 | 37.0 | -26.0 |
| 2 | Moore | 10/6 | 49 | 9 | -40 | 52.5 | 20.5 | -32.0 |
| 3 | Alaska Survey Research | 10/2 | 50 | 12 | -38 | 56.2 | 17.2 | -39.0 |
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| Arizona | Adjusted: | R | +10.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (McCain) | Democrat (Kirkpatrick) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (McCain) | Democrat (Kirkpatrick) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Data Orbital (Khalaf) | 11/2 | 52 | 41 | -11 | 55.0 | 44.8 | -10.3 |
| 2 | Marist | 11/1 | 55 | 39 | -16 | 57.7 | 42.4 | -15.3 |
| 3 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 11/1 | 52 | 40 | -12 | 56.0 | 44.0 | -12.0 |
| 4 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 11/1 | 54 | 41 | -13 | 55.5 | 42.6 | -12.9 |
| 5 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 49 | 46 | -3 | 51.5 | 48.5 | -3.0 |
| 6 | Emerson College | 10/31 | 46 | 40 | -6 | 49.8 | 44.8 | -5.0 |
| 7 | YouGov | 10/28 | 43 | 38 | -5 | 49.3 | 42.7 | -6.6 |
| 8 | Monmouth U. | 10/24 | 50 | 40 | -10 | 52.3 | 41.7 | -10.6 |
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| Arkansas | Adjusted: | R | +15.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Boozman) | Democrat (Eldridge) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Boozman) | Democrat (Eldridge) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 54 | 44 | -11 | 55.3 | 44.7 | -10.6 |
| 2 | U. of Arkansas | 10/25 | 47 | 29 | -18 | 58.2 | 39.9 | -18.3 |
| 3 | Hendrix College | 10/21 | 52 | 34 | -18 | 54.8 | 39.3 | -15.5 |
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| Colorado | Adjusted: | D | +8.8 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Glenn) | Democrat (Bennet) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Glenn) | Democrat (Bennet) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | PPP | 11/3 | 40 | 50 | 10 | 42.9 | 53.1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Keating Research | 11/3 | 38 | 49 | 11 | 40.5 | 51.5 | +11.0 |
| 3 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 11/1 | 41 | 49 | 8 | 46.0 | 54.0 | +8.0 |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 46 | 48 | 3 | 48.7 | 51.3 | +2.6 |
| 5 | Emerson College | 10/31 | 42 | 47 | 5 | 44.1 | 50.1 | +6.0 |
| 6 | U. of Denver | 10/31 | 40 | 48 | 8 | 44.2 | 52.9 | +8.7 |
| 7 | YouGov | 10/28 | 41 | 46 | 5 | 46.8 | 50.2 | +3.4 |
| 8 | U. of Colorado | 10/24 | 40 | 54 | 14 | 40.4 | 54.1 | +13.7 |
| 9 | Quinnipiac | 10/16 | 38 | 56 | 18 | 40.7 | 59.4 | +18.7 |
| Connecticut | Adjusted: | D | +22.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Carter) | Democrat (Blumenthal) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Carter) | Democrat (Blumenthal) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 38 | 59 | 22 | 39.2 | 60.8 | +21.6 |
| 2 | Emerson College | 9/5 | 33 | 54 | 21 | 38.9 | 61.2 | +22.3 |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 6/5 | 30 | 60 | 30 | 33.2 | 63.9 | +30.7 |
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| Florida | Adjusted: | R | +5.2 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Rubio) | Democrat (Murphy) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Rubio) | Democrat (Murphy) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 50 | 41 | -9 | 53.5 | 46.5 | -7.0 |
| 2 | Opinion Savvy | 11/2 | 50 | 46 | -4 | 52.2 | 47.9 | -4.3 |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 11/1 | 50 | 44 | -6 | 51.7 | 46.4 | -5.3 |
| 4 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 11/1 | 49 | 48 | -1 | 50.0 | 49.1 | -0.9 |
| 5 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 49 | 47 | -2 | 51.0 | 49.0 | -2.0 |
| 6 | TargetSmart | 10/30 | 49 | 43 | -6 | 49.5 | 43.5 | -6.0 |
| 7 | Siena | 10/27 | 51 | 42 | -9 | 54.4 | 45.7 | -8.7 |
| 8 | Emerson College | 10/27 | 49 | 47 | -2 | 48.7 | 48.1 | -0.6 |
| 9 | Marist | 10/26 | 51 | 43 | -8 | 51.7 | 44.4 | -7.3 |
| Georgia | Adjusted: | R | +10.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Isakson) | Democrat (Barksdale) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Isakson) | Democrat (Barksdale) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Opinion Savvy | 11/3 | 50 | 39 | -11 | 52.0 | 40.3 | -11.7 |
| 2 | Landmark | 11/3 | 50 | 40 | -10 | 52.7 | 42.2 | -10.5 |
| 3 | Marist | 11/1 | 48 | 37 | -11 | 51.7 | 41.4 | -10.3 |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 50 | 41 | -9 | 52.0 | 43.0 | -9.0 |
| 5 | Emerson College | 10/31 | 48 | 40 | -8 | 51.3 | 44.3 | -7.0 |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | 10/27 | 50 | 38 | -12 | 54.1 | 42.0 | -12.1 |
| 7 | Quinnipiac | 10/26 | 54 | 40 | -14 | 56.7 | 43.4 | -13.3 |
| 8 | Abt SRBI Inc. | 10/20 | 47 | 32 | -15 | 52.2 | 36.5 | -15.7 |
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| Illinois | Adjusted: | D | +13.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Kirk) | Democrat (Duckworth) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Kirk) | Democrat (Duckworth) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 38 | 57 | 18 | 40.8 | 59.2 | +18.4 |
| 2 | Emerson College | 10/30 | 36 | 54 | 18 | 37.9 | 56.7 | +18.8 |
| 3 | Loras College | 10/27 | 34 | 42 | 8 | 43.7 | 50.5 | +6.8 |
| 4 | Victory (McCulloch) | 10/18 | 39 | 50 | 11 | 42.9 | 53.9 | +11.0 |
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| Indiana | Adjusted: | R | +0.6 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Todd Young) | Democrat (Evan Bayh) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Todd Young) | Democrat (Evan Bayh) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Public Opinion Stratgs. | 11/3 | 46 | 41 | -5 | 48.6 | 45.5 | -3.1 |
| 2 | Gravis | 11/1 | 37 | 40 | 3 | 44.5 | 48.6 | +4.1 |
| 3 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 50 | 46 | -4 | 52.0 | 48.0 | -4.0 |
| 4 | Monmouth U. | 10/30 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 47.8 | 47.2 | -0.6 |
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| Iowa | Adjusted: | R | +15.9 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Grassley) | Democrat (Judge) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Grassley) | Democrat (Judge) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Emerson College | 11/3 | 60 | 32 | -28 | 61.7 | 34.6 | -27.1 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 56 | 41 | -15 | 57.5 | 42.5 | -15.0 |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 10/26 | 56 | 38 | -18 | 58.2 | 40.9 | -17.3 |
| 4 | A. Power (Google C.S.) | 10/14 | 56 | 41 | -15 | 56.6 | 42.4 | -14.2 |
| 5 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 10/10 | 51 | 39 | -12 | 56.5 | 44.5 | -12.0 |
| 6 | Selzer | 10/6 | 53 | 36 | -17 | 57.5 | 40.5 | -17.0 |
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| Kansas | Adjusted: | R | +24.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Moran) | Democrat (Wiesner) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Moran) | Democrat (Wiesner) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Fort Hays State U. | 11/3 | 77 | 13 | -64 | 77.0 | 13.0 | -64.0 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 56 | 39 | -17 | 58.5 | 41.5 | -17.0 |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | 10/30 | 55 | 31 | -24 | 59.1 | 35.0 | -24.1 |
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| Kentucky | Adjusted: | R | +7.9 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Rand Paul) | Democrat (Jim Gray) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Rand Paul) | Democrat (Jim Gray) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 52 | 46 | -6 | 53.0 | 47.0 | -6.0 |
| 2 | W. Kentucky U. | 10/30 | 55 | 39 | -16 | 58.4 | 41.6 | -16.8 |
| 3 | RunSwitch PR/Cygnal | 10/28 | 52 | 42 | -10 | 54.8 | 45.1 | -9.7 |
| 4 | Babbage (Google C.S.) | 10/28 | 35 | 28 | -7 | 53.1 | 47.1 | -6.0 |
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| Louisiana | Adjusted: | R | +13.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Kennedy) | Democrat (Campbell) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Kennedy) | Democrat (Campbell) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Remington | 8/30 | 51 | 27 | -24 | 56.5 | 43.5 | -13.0 |
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| Maryland | Adjusted: | D | +31.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Szeliga) | Democrat (Van Hollen) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Szeliga) | Democrat (Van Hollen) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 31 | 66 | 35 | 32.5 | 67.5 | +35.0 |
| 2 | University of Maryland | 9/30 | 29 | 58 | 29 | 32.5 | 61.5 | +29.0 |
| 3 | Goucher College | 9/20 | 24 | 54 | 30 | 34.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 |
| 4 | OpinionWorks | 8/30 | 26 | 55 | 29 | 35.3 | 64.8 | +29.5 |
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| Missouri | Adjusted: | R | +0.8 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Blunt) | Democrat (Kander) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Blunt) | Democrat (Kander) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | DFM Research | 11/1 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 48.2 | 42.8 | -5.4 |
| 2 | Remington | 11/1 | 48 | 44 | -4 | 49.0 | 47.0 | -2.0 |
| 3 | PPP | 11/1 | 46 | 44 | -2 | 53.4 | 46.6 | -6.8 |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 45 | 51 | 5 | 47.3 | 52.7 | +5.4 |
| 5 | Monmouth U. | 10/31 | 47 | 46 | -1 | 49.8 | 48.2 | -1.6 |
| 6 | Emerson College | 10/31 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 46.6 | 47.9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | BK Stratgs. (Brian Kelly) | 10/28 | 47 | 44 | -3 | 48.3 | 47.8 | -0.5 |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon | 10/26 | 47 | 46 | -1 | 49.0 | 49.0 | +0.0 |
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| Nevada | Adjusted: | D | +0.4 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Heck) | Democrat (Cortez Masto) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Heck) | Democrat (Cortez Masto) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 44 | 45 | 1 | 48.5 | 51.5 | +3.0 |
| 2 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 11/1 | 41 | 47 | 6 | 47.5 | 53.5 | +6.0 |
| 3 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 11/1 | 49 | 47 | -2 | 51.0 | 49.1 | -1.9 |
| 4 | JMC Analytics | 11/1 | 43 | 45 | 2 | 45.6 | 48.5 | +2.9 |
| 5 | PPP | 11/1 | 44 | 47 | 3 | 50.7 | 49.4 | -1.3 |
| 6 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | Emerson College | 10/27 | 48 | 44 | -4 | 50.1 | 47.5 | -2.6 |
| 8 | Gravis | 10/25 | 44 | 50 | 6 | 46.5 | 53.6 | +7.1 |
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| New Hampshire | Adjusted: | D | +0.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Ayotte) | Democrat (Hassan) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Ayotte) | Democrat (Hassan) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 45 | 47 | 2 | 48.0 | 52.0 | +4.0 |
| 2 | UMass Lowell | 11/2 | 46 | 47 | 1 | 47.5 | 48.6 | +1.1 |
| 3 | ARG | 11/2 | 49 | 46 | -3 | 51.5 | 48.6 | -2.9 |
| 4 | Gravis | 11/2 | 46 | 44 | -2 | 50.5 | 49.6 | -0.9 |
| 5 | Suffolk U. | 11/1 | 44 | 42 | -3 | 49.1 | 45.6 | -3.5 |
| 6 | MassINC | 11/1 | 51 | 45 | -6 | 52.4 | 46.6 | -5.8 |
| 7 | PPP | 11/1 | 45 | 48 | 3 | 50.2 | 49.9 | -0.3 |
| 8 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 38 | 50 | 12 | 40.0 | 52.0 | +12.0 |
| 9 | UNH | 10/30 | 44 | 46 | 2 | 48.9 | 49.2 | +0.3 |
| New York | Adjusted: | D | +40.2 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Long) | Democrat (Schumer) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Long) | Democrat (Schumer) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 28 | 68 | 40 | 30.0 | 70.0 | +40.0 |
| 2 | Siena | 10/17 | 27 | 66 | 39 | 29.9 | 69.2 | +39.3 |
| 3 | Marist | 9/23 | 24 | 70 | 46 | 26.7 | 73.4 | +46.7 |
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| North Carolina | Adjusted: | R | +1.8 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Burr) | Democrat (Ross) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Burr) | Democrat (Ross) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 47 | 44 | -3 | 50.5 | 49.5 | -1.0 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 11/1 | 45 | 49 | 4 | 47.2 | 51.9 | +4.7 |
| 3 | PPP | 11/1 | 48 | 45 | -3 | 53.2 | 46.9 | -6.3 |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | 10/31 | 49 | 43 | -6 | 52.1 | 46.0 | -6.1 |
| 5 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 43 | 47 | 3 | 44.8 | 48.2 | +3.4 |
| 6 | YouGov | 10/28 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 49.8 | 48.2 | -1.6 |
| 7 | Elon U. | 10/27 | 45 | 42 | -3 | 50.0 | 46.4 | -3.6 |
| 8 | Emerson College | 10/27 | 48 | 44 | -4 | 50.2 | 47.1 | -3.1 |
| 9 | Marist | 10/26 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 49.2 | 49.9 | +0.7 |
| North Dakota | Adjusted: | R | +44.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Hoeven) | Democrat (Glassheim) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Hoeven) | Democrat (Glassheim) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 71 | 27 | -44 | 72.0 | 28.0 | -44.0 |
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| Ohio | Adjusted: | R | +13.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Portman) | Democrat (Strickland) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Portman) | Democrat (Strickland) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 50 | 39 | -11 | 54.5 | 45.5 | -9.0 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 11/1 | 56 | 38 | -18 | 58.7 | 41.4 | -17.3 |
| 3 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 55 | 40 | -16 | 57.8 | 42.2 | -15.6 |
| 4 | Emerson College | 10/27 | 49 | 35 | -15 | 54.5 | 41.3 | -13.2 |
| 5 | Suffolk U. | 10/19 | 46 | 31 | -15 | 54.7 | 39.0 | -15.7 |
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| Oregon | Adjusted: | D | +27.6 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Callahan) | Democrat (Wyden) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Callahan) | Democrat (Wyden) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 34 | 62 | 28 | 36.0 | 64.0 | +28.0 |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | 10/12 | 32 | 54 | 22 | 36.6 | 58.5 | +21.9 |
| 3 | Gravis | 10/4 | 33 | 52 | 19 | 36.2 | 63.8 | +27.6 |
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| Pennsylvania | Adjusted: | D | +3.4 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Toomey) | Democrat (McGinty) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Toomey) | Democrat (McGinty) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 43 | 45 | 2 | 48.0 | 52.0 | +4.0 |
| 2 | Harper | 11/3 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 46.7 | 46.4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 11/1 | 47 | 48 | 1 | 49.2 | 50.9 | +1.7 |
| 4 | Monmouth U. | 11/1 | 44 | 47 | 3 | 47.3 | 49.7 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 11/1 | 46 | 51 | 5 | 47.5 | 52.6 | +5.1 |
| 6 | Susquehanna / VSS | 11/1 | 41 | 47 | 6 | 44.2 | 50.4 | +6.2 |
| 7 | PPP | 11/1 | 44 | 46 | 2 | 51.4 | 48.6 | -2.8 |
| 8 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 46 | 49 | 3 | 48.5 | 51.5 | +3.0 |
| 9 | Franklin & Marshall | 10/30 | 35 | 47 | 12 | 42.8 | 55.2 | +12.4 |
| South Carolina | Adjusted: | R | +20.4 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Tim Scott) | Democrat (Dixon) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Tim Scott) | Democrat (Dixon) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 56 | 39 | -17 | 58.5 | 41.5 | -17.0 |
| 2 | Starboard Comms. | 9/9 | 58 | 22 | -36 | 62.0 | 34.0 | -28.0 |
| 3 | PPP | 8/10 | 45 | 28 | -17 | 54.9 | 38.1 | -16.8 |
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| South Dakota | Adjusted: | R | +28.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Thune) | Democrat (Williams) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Thune) | Democrat (Williams) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 67 | 31 | -36 | 68.0 | 32.0 | -36.0 |
| 2 | Nielson Bros. Polling | 10/26 | 54 | 35 | -19 | 60.2 | 39.8 | -20.4 |
| 3 | Remington | 10/21 | 57 | 36 | -21 | 60.5 | 39.5 | -21.0 |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon | 10/20 | 65 | 27 | -38 | 68.5 | 31.5 | -37.0 |
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| Utah | Adjusted: | R | +33.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Mike Lee) | Democrat (Snow) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Mike Lee) | Democrat (Snow) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Monmouth U. | 11/2 | 61 | 28 | -33 | 63.8 | 30.2 | -33.6 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 62 | 34 | -28 | 64.0 | 36.0 | -28.0 |
| 3 | Rasmussen | 10/31 | 59 | 27 | -32 | 61.5 | 31.5 | -30.0 |
| 4 | Dan Jones & Assocs. | 10/18 | 61 | 22 | -39 | 66.5 | 26.6 | -39.9 |
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| Washington | Adjusted: | D | +22.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Vance) | Democrat (Murray) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Vance) | Democrat (Murray) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 36 | 61 | 25 | 37.5 | 62.5 | +25.0 |
| 2 | Elway | 10/22 | 34 | 58 | 24 | 38.3 | 61.8 | +23.5 |
| 3 | YouGov | 10/13 | 39 | 55 | 16 | 42.8 | 57.2 | +14.4 |
| 4 | Strategies 360 | 10/3 | 36 | 57 | 21 | 39.0 | 60.1 | +21.1 |
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| Wisconsin | Adjusted: | D | +4.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Johnson) | Democrat (Feingold) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Johnson) | Democrat (Feingold) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Loras College | 11/1 | 45 | 47 | 2 | 48.6 | 49.3 | +0.7 |
| 2 | PPP | 11/1 | 44 | 49 | 5 | 49.2 | 50.9 | +1.7 |
| 3 | Marquette | 10/31 | 44 | 45 | 1 | 46.5 | 47.7 | +1.2 |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | 10/31 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | Emerson College | 10/28 | 44 | 49 | 5 | 45.3 | 51.1 | +5.8 |
| 6 | Wilson Perkins Allen | 10/20 | 42 | 45 | 3 | 45.1 | 54.9 | +9.8 |
| 7 | McLaughlin & Assocs. | 10/20 | 46 | 48 | 2 | 46.9 | 51.2 | +4.3 |
| 8 | Monmouth U. | 10/18 | 44 | 52 | 8 | 45.3 | 52.7 | +7.4 |
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