The final prediction: six toss-up races will determine the majority in the senate. Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana are all within two percentage points, according to my median poll analysis. Florida and Nevada are also close.
Senate Race Ratings:
Solid Dem
37 - California** - Harris or Sanchez
38 - New York - Schumer +46.0 (Schumer 73.0 - Long 27.0)
39 - Hawaii - Schatz +~40
40 - Vermont - Leahy +~40
41 - Maryland - Van Hollen +30.1 (Van Hollen 64.4 - Szeliga 34.3)
42 - Connecticut - Blumenthal +28.4 (Blumenthal 63.9 - Carter 35.5)
43 - Oregon - Wyden +27.6 (Wyden 63.8 - Callahan 36.2)
44 - Washington - Murray +18.5 (Murray 59.3 - Vance 40.8)
45 - Illinois - Duckworth +13.1 (Duckworth 55.3 - Kirk 42.2)
Likely Dem
46 - Colorado - Bennet +8.7 (Bennet 52.9 - Glenn 44.2)
Lean Dem
47 - Nevada - Cortez Masto +3.1 (Cortez Masto 50.6 - Heck 47.5)
Toss Up
48 - Pennsylvania - McGinty +1.3 (McGinty 49.8 - Toomey 48.5)
49 - Wisconsin - Feingold +0.9 (Feingold 49.8 - Johnson 48.9)
50 - New Hampshire - Hassan +0.3 (Hassan 48.3 - Ayotte 48.3)
50 - North Carolina - Burr +1.2 (Burr 49.8 - Ross 48.7)
49 - Missouri - Blunt +1.3 (Blunt 49.0 - Kander 47.8)
48 - Indiana - Young +1.8 (Young 48.2 - Bayh 46.3)
Lean GOP
47 - Florida - Rubio +4.3 (Rubio 50.8 - Murphy 46.5)
Likely GOP
46 - Kentucky - Rand Paul +7.9 (Rand Paul 53.9 - Jim Gray 46.1)
45 - Georgia - Isakson +9.8 (Isakson 52.0 - Barksdale 42.3)
44 - Arizona - McCain +10.5 (McCain 54.5 - Kirkpatrick 44.0)
Solid GOP
43 - Louisiana* - Kennedy +13.0 (Kennedy 56.5 - Campbell 43.5)
42 - Ohio - Portman +16.1 (Portman 57.2 - Strickland 41.1)
41 - Arkansas - Boozman +17.7 (Boozman 57.5 - Eldridge 39.9)
40 - Iowa - Grassley +18.3 (Grassley 59.0 - Judge 40.8)
39 - South Carolina - Scott +22.4 (Scott 60.5 - Dixon 38.1)
38 - Kansas - Moran +26.1 (Moran 61.0 - Wiesner 35.0)
37 - South Dakota - Thune +27.5 (Thune 63.8 - Williams 36.3)
36 - Alabama - Shelby +32.7 (Shelby 66.2 - Crumpton 33.5)
35 - Alaska - Murkowski +35.7 (Murkowski 56.2 - Metcalfe 20.5)
34 - Idaho - Crapo +~36
33 - Utah - Lee +36.3 (Lee 64.7 - Snow 28.4)
32 - Oklahoma - Lankford +~40
31 - North Dakota - Hoeven +51 (Hoeven 75.5 - Glassheim - 24.5)
Today’s prediction is based on the following polls:
| Alabama | Adjusted: | R | +32.7 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Shelby) | Democrat (Crumpton) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Shelby) | Democrat (Crumpton) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 58 | 37 | -21 | 61 | 40 | -21.0 |
| 2 | A. Power (Google C.S.) | 10/20 | 71 | 26 | -45 | 72 | 28 | -44.3 |
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| Alaska | Adjusted: | R | +35.7 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Murkowski) | Democrat (Metcalfe) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Murkowski) | Democrat (Metcalfe) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 55 | 33 | -22 | 61.0 | 39.0 | -22.0 |
| 2 | Moore | 10/6 | 49 | 9 | -40 | 52.5 | 20.5 | -32.0 |
| 3 | Alaska Survey Research | 10/2 | 50 | 12 | -38 | 56.2 | 17.2 | -39.0 |
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| Arizona | Adjusted: | R | +10.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (McCain) | Democrat (Kirkpatrick) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (McCain) | Democrat (Kirkpatrick) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Insights West | 11/6 | 50 | 42 | -8 | 54.5 | 46.5 | -8.0 |
| 2 | Data Orbital (Khalaf) | 11/6 | 56 | 44 | -12 | 55.5 | 44.5 | -11.0 |
| 3 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 50 | 45 | -5 | 52.5 | 47.5 | -5.0 |
| 4 | Marist | 11/1 | 55 | 39 | -16 | 57.7 | 42.4 | -15.3 |
| 5 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 11/1 | 52 | 40 | -12 | 56.0 | 44.0 | -12.0 |
| 6 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 11/1 | 54 | 41 | -13 | 55.5 | 42.6 | -12.9 |
| 7 | Emerson College | 10/31 | 46 | 40 | -6 | 49.8 | 44.8 | -5.0 |
| 8 | YouGov | 10/28 | 43 | 38 | -5 | 49.3 | 42.7 | -6.6 |
| 9 | Monmouth U. | 10/24 | 50 | 40 | -10 | 52.3 | 41.7 | -10.6 |
| Arkansas | Adjusted: | R | +17.7 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Boozman) | Democrat (Eldridge) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Boozman) | Democrat (Eldridge) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 56 | 41 | -15 | 57.5 | 42.5 | -15.0 |
| 2 | U. of Arkansas | 10/25 | 47 | 29 | -18 | 58.2 | 39.9 | -18.3 |
| 3 | Hendrix College | 10/21 | 52 | 34 | -18 | 54.8 | 39.3 | -15.5 |
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| Colorado | Adjusted: | D | +8.7 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Glenn) | Democrat (Bennet) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Glenn) | Democrat (Bennet) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 45 | 52 | 7 | 46.5 | 53.5 | +7.0 |
| 2 | PPP | 11/3 | 40 | 50 | 10 | 42.9 | 53.1 | +10.2 |
| 3 | Keating Research | 11/3 | 38 | 49 | 11 | 40.5 | 51.5 | +11.0 |
| 4 | Gravis | 11/2 | 44 | 47 | 3 | 48.0 | 52.1 | +4.1 |
| 5 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 11/1 | 41 | 49 | 8 | 46.0 | 54.0 | +8.0 |
| 6 | Emerson College | 10/31 | 42 | 47 | 5 | 44.1 | 50.1 | +6.0 |
| 7 | U. of Denver | 10/31 | 40 | 48 | 8 | 44.2 | 52.9 | +8.7 |
| 8 | YouGov | 10/28 | 41 | 46 | 5 | 46.8 | 50.2 | +3.4 |
| 9 | U. of Colorado | 10/24 | 40 | 54 | 14 | 40.4 | 54.1 | +13.7 |
| Connecticut | Adjusted: | D | +28.4 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Carter) | Democrat (Blumenthal) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Carter) | Democrat (Blumenthal) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 34 | 63 | 29 | 35.5 | 64.5 | +29.0 |
| 2 | Emerson College | 9/5 | 33 | 54 | 21 | 38.9 | 61.2 | +22.3 |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 6/5 | 30 | 60 | 30 | 33.2 | 63.9 | +30.7 |
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| Florida | Adjusted: | R | +4.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Rubio) | Democrat (Murphy) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Rubio) | Democrat (Murphy) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 48 | 49 | 1 | 49.5 | 50.5 | +1.0 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 11/6 | 50 | 43 | -7 | 52.2 | 45.9 | -6.3 |
| 3 | YouGov | 11/4 | 47 | 44 | -3 | 50.8 | 46.2 | -4.6 |
| 4 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 50 | 41 | -9 | 53.5 | 46.5 | -7.0 |
| 5 | Opinion Savvy | 11/2 | 50 | 46 | -4 | 52.2 | 47.9 | -4.3 |
| 6 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 11/1 | 49 | 48 | -1 | 50.0 | 49.1 | -0.9 |
| 7 | TargetSmart | 10/30 | 49 | 43 | -6 | 49.5 | 43.5 | -6.0 |
| 8 | Siena | 10/27 | 51 | 42 | -9 | 54.4 | 45.7 | -8.7 |
| 9 | Emerson College | 10/27 | 49 | 47 | -2 | 48.7 | 48.1 | -0.6 |
| Georgia | Adjusted: | R | +9.8 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Isakson) | Democrat (Barksdale) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Isakson) | Democrat (Barksdale) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 47 | 41 | -6 | 49.0 | 43.0 | -6.0 |
| 2 | Landmark | 11/6 | 52 | 41 | -11 | 53.8 | 42.3 | -11.5 |
| 3 | YouGov | 11/5 | 48 | 41 | -7 | 51.3 | 42.7 | -8.6 |
| 4 | Opinion Savvy | 11/3 | 50 | 39 | -11 | 52.0 | 40.3 | -11.7 |
| 5 | Marist | 11/1 | 48 | 37 | -11 | 51.7 | 41.4 | -10.3 |
| 6 | Emerson College | 10/31 | 48 | 40 | -8 | 51.3 | 44.3 | -7.0 |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | 10/27 | 50 | 38 | -12 | 54.1 | 42.0 | -12.1 |
| 8 | Quinnipiac | 10/26 | 54 | 40 | -14 | 56.7 | 43.4 | -13.3 |
| 9 | Abt SRBI Inc. | 10/20 | 47 | 32 | -15 | 52.2 | 36.5 | -15.7 |
| Illinois | Adjusted: | D | +13.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Kirk) | Democrat (Duckworth) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Kirk) | Democrat (Duckworth) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 39 | 56 | 17 | 41.5 | 58.5 | +17.0 |
| 2 | Emerson College | 10/30 | 36 | 54 | 18 | 37.9 | 56.7 | +18.8 |
| 3 | Loras College | 10/27 | 34 | 42 | 8 | 43.7 | 50.5 | +6.8 |
| 4 | Victory (McCulloch) | 10/18 | 39 | 50 | 11 | 42.9 | 53.9 | +11.0 |
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| Indiana | Adjusted: | R | +1.8 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Todd Young) | Democrat (Evan Bayh) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Todd Young) | Democrat (Evan Bayh) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 53 | 42 | -11 | 55.5 | 44.5 | -11.0 |
| 2 | Public Opinion Stratgs. | 11/3 | 46 | 41 | -5 | 48.6 | 45.5 | -3.1 |
| 3 | Gravis | 11/1 | 37 | 40 | 3 | 44.5 | 48.6 | +4.1 |
| 4 | Monmouth U. | 10/30 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 47.8 | 47.2 | -0.6 |
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| Iowa | Adjusted: | R | +18.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Grassley) | Democrat (Judge) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Grassley) | Democrat (Judge) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 57 | 39 | -18 | 59.0 | 41.0 | -18.0 |
| 2 | Selzer | 11/4 | 56 | 33 | -23 | 61.0 | 38.0 | -23.0 |
| 3 | Loras College | 11/3 | 53 | 37 | -16 | 58.1 | 40.8 | -17.3 |
| 4 | Emerson College | 11/3 | 60 | 32 | -28 | 61.7 | 34.6 | -27.1 |
| 5 | Quinnipiac | 10/26 | 56 | 38 | -18 | 58.2 | 40.9 | -17.3 |
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| Kansas | Adjusted: | R | +26.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Moran) | Democrat (Wiesner) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Moran) | Democrat (Wiesner) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 59 | 37 | -22 | 61.0 | 39.0 | -22.0 |
| 2 | Fort Hays State U. | 11/3 | 77 | 13 | -64 | 77.0 | 13.0 | -64.0 |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | 10/30 | 55 | 31 | -24 | 59.1 | 35.0 | -24.1 |
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| Kentucky | Adjusted: | R | +7.9 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Rand Paul) | Democrat (Jim Gray) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Rand Paul) | Democrat (Jim Gray) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 50 | 46 | -4 | 52.0 | 48.0 | -4.0 |
| 2 | W. Kentucky U. | 10/30 | 55 | 39 | -16 | 58.4 | 41.6 | -16.8 |
| 3 | RunSwitch PR/Cygnal | 10/28 | 52 | 42 | -10 | 54.8 | 45.1 | -9.7 |
| 4 | Babbage (Google C.S.) | 10/28 | 35 | 28 | -7 | 53.1 | 47.1 | -6.0 |
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| Louisiana | Adjusted: | R | +13.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Kennedy) | Democrat (Campbell) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Kennedy) | Democrat (Campbell) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Remington | 8/30 | 51 | 27 | -24 | 56.5 | 43.5 | -13.0 |
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| Maryland | Adjusted: | D | +30.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Szeliga) | Democrat (Van Hollen) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Szeliga) | Democrat (Van Hollen) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 33 | 64 | 31 | 34.5 | 65.5 | +31.0 |
| 2 | University of Maryland | 9/30 | 29 | 58 | 29 | 32.5 | 61.5 | +29.0 |
| 3 | Goucher College | 9/20 | 24 | 54 | 30 | 34.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 |
| 4 | OpinionWorks | 8/30 | 26 | 55 | 29 | 35.3 | 64.8 | +29.5 |
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| Missouri | Adjusted: | R | +1.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Blunt) | Democrat (Kander) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Blunt) | Democrat (Kander) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 44 | 51 | 7 | 46.5 | 53.5 | +7.0 |
| 2 | Emerson College | 11/5 | 45 | 46 | 1 | 46.4 | 48.4 | +2.0 |
| 3 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 11/2 | 47 | 45 | -2 | 53.2 | 46.8 | -6.4 |
| 4 | DFM Research | 11/1 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 48.2 | 42.8 | -5.4 |
| 5 | Remington | 11/1 | 48 | 44 | -4 | 49.0 | 47.0 | -2.0 |
| 6 | PPP | 11/1 | 46 | 44 | -2 | 53.4 | 46.6 | -6.8 |
| 7 | Monmouth U. | 10/31 | 47 | 46 | -1 | 49.8 | 48.2 | -1.6 |
| 8 | BK Stratgs. (Brian Kelly) | 10/28 | 47 | 44 | -3 | 48.3 | 47.8 | -0.5 |
| 9 | Mason-Dixon | 10/26 | 47 | 46 | -1 | 49.0 | 49.0 | +0.0 |
| Nevada | Adjusted: | D | +3.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Heck) | Democrat (Cortez Masto) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Heck) | Democrat (Cortez Masto) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 45 | 50 | 5 | 47.5 | 52.5 | +5.0 |
| 2 | Gravis | 11/6 | 43 | 49 | 6 | 46.5 | 53.6 | +7.1 |
| 3 | Emerson College | 11/5 | 47 | 48 | 1 | 47.4 | 49.8 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 44 | 45 | 1 | 48.5 | 51.5 | +3.0 |
| 5 | Luc.id/Times-Picayune | 11/1 | 41 | 47 | 6 | 47.5 | 53.5 | +6.0 |
| 6 | Opinion Research (CNN) | 11/1 | 49 | 47 | -2 | 51.0 | 49.1 | -1.9 |
| 7 | JMC Analytics | 11/1 | 43 | 45 | 2 | 45.6 | 48.5 | +2.9 |
| 8 | PPP | 11/1 | 44 | 47 | 3 | 50.7 | 49.4 | -1.3 |
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| New Hampshire | Adjusted: | D | +0.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Ayotte) | Democrat (Hassan) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Ayotte) | Democrat (Hassan) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 42 | 51 | 9 | 42.5 | 51.5 | +9.0 |
| 2 | UNH | 11/6 | 47 | 52 | 5 | 47.9 | 51.2 | +3.3 |
| 3 | Emerson College | 11/5 | 49 | 46 | -3 | 48.3 | 46.4 | -1.9 |
| 4 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 45 | 47 | 2 | 48.0 | 52.0 | +4.0 |
| 5 | UMass Lowell | 11/2 | 46 | 47 | 1 | 47.5 | 48.6 | +1.1 |
| 6 | ARG | 11/2 | 49 | 46 | -3 | 51.5 | 48.6 | -2.9 |
| 7 | Gravis | 11/2 | 46 | 44 | -2 | 50.5 | 49.6 | -0.9 |
| 8 | Suffolk U. | 11/1 | 44 | 42 | -3 | 49.1 | 45.6 | -3.5 |
| 9 | MassINC | 11/1 | 51 | 45 | -6 | 52.4 | 46.6 | -5.8 |
| New York | Adjusted: | D | +46.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Long) | Democrat (Schumer) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Long) | Democrat (Schumer) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 25 | 71 | 46 | 27.0 | 73.0 | +46.0 |
| 2 | Siena | 11/4 | 25 | 67 | 42 | 28.9 | 71.2 | +42.3 |
| 3 | Marist | 9/23 | 24 | 70 | 46 | 26.7 | 73.4 | +46.7 |
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| North Carolina | Adjusted: | R | +1.2 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Burr) | Democrat (Ross) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Burr) | Democrat (Ross) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 43 | 47 | 4 | 45.0 | 49.0 | +4.0 |
| 2 | Siena | 11/6 | 46 | 45 | -1 | 49.4 | 48.7 | -0.7 |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 11/6 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 48.7 | 49.4 | +0.7 |
| 4 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 47 | 44 | -3 | 50.5 | 49.5 | -1.0 |
| 5 | PPP | 11/1 | 48 | 45 | -3 | 53.2 | 46.9 | -6.3 |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | 10/31 | 49 | 43 | -6 | 52.1 | 46.0 | -6.1 |
| 7 | YouGov | 10/28 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 49.8 | 48.2 | -1.6 |
| 8 | Elon U. | 10/27 | 45 | 42 | -3 | 50.0 | 46.4 | -3.6 |
| 9 | Marist | 10/26 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 49.2 | 49.9 | +0.7 |
| North Dakota | Adjusted: | R | +51.0 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Hoeven) | Democrat (Glassheim) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Hoeven) | Democrat (Glassheim) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 74 | 23 | -51 | 75.5 | 24.5 | -51.0 |
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| Ohio | Adjusted: | R | +16.1 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Portman) | Democrat (Strickland) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Portman) | Democrat (Strickland) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 57 | 39 | -18 | 59.0 | 41.0 | -18.0 |
| 2 | Emerson College | 11/5 | 49 | 28 | -21 | 53.9 | 34.7 | -19.2 |
| 3 | Columbus Dispatch | 11/5 | 58 | 37 | -21 | 58.6 | 36.5 | -22.1 |
| 4 | YouGov | 11/4 | 52 | 39 | -13 | 55.8 | 41.2 | -14.6 |
| 5 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 50 | 39 | -11 | 54.5 | 45.5 | -9.0 |
| 6 | Quinnipiac | 11/1 | 56 | 38 | -18 | 58.7 | 41.4 | -17.3 |
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| Oregon | Adjusted: | D | +27.6 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Callahan) | Democrat (Wyden) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Callahan) | Democrat (Wyden) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 32 | 63 | 31 | 34.5 | 65.5 | +31.0 |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | 10/12 | 32 | 54 | 22 | 36.6 | 58.5 | +21.9 |
| 3 | Gravis | 10/4 | 33 | 52 | 19 | 36.2 | 63.8 | +27.6 |
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| Pennsylvania | Adjusted: | D | +1.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Toomey) | Democrat (McGinty) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Toomey) | Democrat (McGinty) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 45 | 49 | 4 | 48.0 | 52.0 | +4.0 |
| 2 | YouGov | 11/5 | 43 | 42 | -1 | 51.3 | 48.7 | -2.6 |
| 3 | Muhlenberg Coll. | 11/4 | 43 | 42 | -1 | 50.3 | 49.8 | -0.5 |
| 4 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 11/4 | 43 | 46 | 3 | 51.5 | 48.6 | -2.9 |
| 5 | Rasmussen | 11/3 | 43 | 45 | 2 | 48.0 | 52.0 | +4.0 |
| 6 | Harper | 11/3 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 46.7 | 46.4 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Gravis | 11/2 | 43 | 45 | 2 | 48.5 | 51.6 | +3.1 |
| 8 | Quinnipiac | 11/1 | 47 | 48 | 1 | 49.2 | 50.9 | +1.7 |
| 9 | Monmouth U. | 11/1 | 44 | 47 | 3 | 47.3 | 49.7 | +2.4 |
| South Carolina | Adjusted: | R | +22.4 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Tim Scott) | Democrat (Dixon) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Tim Scott) | Democrat (Dixon) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 59 | 38 | -21 | 60.5 | 39.5 | -21.0 |
| 2 | Starboard Comms. | 9/9 | 58 | 22 | -36 | 62.0 | 34.0 | -28.0 |
| 3 | PPP | 8/10 | 45 | 28 | -17 | 54.9 | 38.1 | -16.8 |
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| South Dakota | Adjusted: | R | +27.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Thune) | Democrat (Williams) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Thune) | Democrat (Williams) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 65 | 31 | -34 | 67.0 | 33.0 | -34.0 |
| 2 | Nielson Bros. Polling | 10/26 | 54 | 35 | -19 | 60.2 | 39.8 | -20.4 |
| 3 | Remington | 10/21 | 57 | 36 | -21 | 60.5 | 39.5 | -21.0 |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon | 10/20 | 65 | 27 | -38 | 68.5 | 31.5 | -37.0 |
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| Utah | Adjusted: | R | +36.3 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Mike Lee) | Democrat (Snow) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Mike Lee) | Democrat (Snow) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 60 | 36 | -24 | 62.0 | 38.0 | -24.0 |
| 2 | YouGov | 11/5 | 69 | 23 | -46 | 72.8 | 25.2 | -47.6 |
| 3 | Y2 Analytics | 11/3 | 62 | 22 | -40 | 65.5 | 25.5 | -40.0 |
| 4 | Monmouth U. | 11/2 | 61 | 28 | -33 | 63.8 | 30.2 | -33.6 |
| 5 | Rasmussen | 10/31 | 59 | 27 | -32 | 61.5 | 31.5 | -30.0 |
| 6 | Dan Jones & Assocs. | 10/18 | 61 | 22 | -39 | 66.5 | 26.6 | -39.9 |
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| Washington | Adjusted: | D | +18.5 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Vance) | Democrat (Murray) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Vance) | Democrat (Murray) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | Insights West | 11/6 | 37 | 53 | 16 | 42.5 | 58.5 | +16.0 |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 37 | 59 | 22 | 39.0 | 61.0 | +22.0 |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | 11/2 | 41 | 53 | 12 | 44.1 | 56.0 | +11.9 |
| 4 | Elway | 10/22 | 34 | 58 | 24 | 38.3 | 61.8 | +23.5 |
| 5 | YouGov | 10/13 | 39 | 55 | 16 | 42.8 | 57.2 | +14.4 |
| 6 | Strategies 360 | 10/3 | 36 | 57 | 21 | 39.0 | 60.1 | +21.1 |
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| Wisconsin | Adjusted: | D | +0.9 | |||||
| Pollster | Last day in field | Republican (Johnson) | Democrat (Feingold) | Spread (D-R) | Republican (Johnson) | Democrat (Feingold) | Spread (D-R) | |
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | 49 | 48 | -1 | 50.5 | 49.5 | -1.0 |
| 2 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 11/2 | 46 | 49 | 3 | 50.0 | 50.1 | +0.1 |
| 3 | Loras College | 11/1 | 45 | 47 | 2 | 48.6 | 49.3 | +0.7 |
| 4 | PPP | 11/1 | 44 | 49 | 5 | 49.2 | 50.9 | +1.7 |
| 5 | Marquette | 10/31 | 44 | 45 | 1 | 46.5 | 47.7 | +1.2 |
| 6 | Emerson College | 10/28 | 44 | 49 | 5 | 45.3 | 51.1 | +5.8 |
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