Solid Dem
37 - California** - Harris
38 - Hawaii - Schatz +~40
39 - Vermont - Leahy +~40
40 - New York - Schumer +36.3 (Schumer 66.7 - Long 30.4)
41 - Oregon - Wyden +~30
42 - Maryland - Van Hollen +29.5 (Van Hollen 64.8 - Szeliga 35.3)
43 - Connecticut - Blumenthal +26.5 (Blumenthal 62.5 - Carter 36.0)

44 - Washington - Murray +17.5 (Murray 58.8 - Vance 41.3)
45 - Colorado - Bennet +15.7 (Bennet 56.9 - Glenn 41.2)

Likely Dem
46 - Wisconsin - Feingold +8.2 (Feingold 53.6 - Johnson 45.5)
47 - Indiana - Bayh +6.2 (Bayh 50.8 - Young 44.7)

Lean Dem
48 - Illinois - Duckworth +4.4 (Duckworth 52.2 - Kirk 47.8)

Toss Up
49 - Pennsylvania - McGinty +0.3 (McGinty 48.7 - Toomey 48.4)
51 - New Hampshire - Ayotte +0.2 (Ayotte 49.6 - Hassan 49.4)

50 - Nevada - Heck +1.3 (Heck 48.6 - Cortez Masto 47.3)
49 - North Carolina - Burr +2.3 (Burr 49.3 - Ross 47.0)

Lean GOP
48 - Missouri - Blunt +3.7 (Blunt 51.8 - Kander 48.1)

Likely GOP
47 - Florida - Rubio +6.1 (Rubio 52.0 - Murphy 46.0)

46 - Iowa - Grassley +9.0 (Grassley 53.7 - Judge 44.7)
45 - Georgia - Isakson +9.1 (Isakson 52.1 - Barksdale 43.0)

44 - Ohio - Portman +10.7 (Portman 54.4 - Strickland 43.7)

Solid GOP
43 - Arizona - McCain +12.1 (McCain 53.0 - Kirkpatrick 40.9)
42 - Louisiana* - Kennedy +13.0 (Kennedy 56.5 - Campbell 43.5)
41 - Kentucky - Rand Paul +15.5 (Rand Paul 58.0 - Jim Gray 42.5)

40 - Kansas - Moran +16.1 (Moran 55.6 - Wiesner 39.5)
39 - Arkansas - Boozman +16.5 (Boozman 55.3 - Eldridge 38.8)
38 - South Carolina - Scott +22.4 (Scott 58.5 - Dixon 36.1)
37 - Utah - Lee +29.8 (Lee 60.9 - Snow 31.1)
36 - Alabama - Shelby +~30

35 - South Dakota - Thune +~30
34 - Idaho - Crapo +~30
33 - Alaska - Murkowski +35.0 (Murkowski 60.0 - Metcalfe 25.0)
32 - North Dakota - Hoeven +~35
31 - Oklahoma - Lankford +~40

Today’s prediction is based on the following polls: 

Alabama						Adjusted:	R	+30.0
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Shelby)	Democrat (Crumpton)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Shelby)	Democrat (Crumpton)	Spread (D-R)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Alaska						Adjusted:	R	+35.0
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Murkowski)	Democrat (Metcalfe)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Murkowski)	Democrat (Metcalfe)	Spread (D-R)
1	Moore	8/29	56	12	-44	60.0	25.0	-35.0
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Arizona						Adjusted:	R	+12.1
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (McCain)	Democrat (Kirkpatrick)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (McCain)	Democrat (Kirkpatrick)	Spread (D-R)
1	Marist	9/8	57	38	-19	59.2	40.9	-18.3
2	PPP	8/27	43	43	0	50.4	50.6	+0.2
3	Opinion Research (CNN)	8/23	52	39	-13	53.0	40.1	-12.9
4
5
6
7
8
9
Arkansas						Adjusted:	R	+16.5
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Boozman)	Democrat (Eldridge)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Boozman)	Democrat (Eldridge)	Spread (D-R)
1	Hendrix College	6/21	51	29	-22	55.3	38.8	-16.5
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Colorado						Adjusted:	D	+15.7
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Glenn)	Democrat (Bennet)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Glenn)	Democrat (Bennet)	Spread (D-R)
1	Magellan	8/31	38	48	10	41.2	51.8	+10.6
2	Quinnipiac	8/16	38	54	16	41.7	58.4	+16.7
3	Marist	8/10	38	53	15	41.2	56.9	+15.7
4
5
6
7
8
9
Connecticut						Adjusted:	D	+26.5
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Carter)	Democrat (Blumenthal)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Carter)	Democrat (Blumenthal)	Spread (D-R)
1	Emerson College	9/5	33	54	21	38.9	61.2	+22.3
2	Quinnipiac	6/5	30	60	30	33.2	63.9	+30.7
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Florida						Adjusted:	R	+6.1
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Rubio)	Democrat (Murphy)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Rubio)	Democrat (Murphy)	Spread (D-R)
1	Opinion Research (CNN)	9/12	54	43	-11	54.0	43.1	-10.9
2	JMC Analytics	9/8	43	38	-5	50.1	46.0	-4.1
3	Quinnipiac	9/7	50	43	-7	52.7	46.4	-6.3
4	PPP	9/6	40	37	-3	46.4	43.6	-2.8
5	icitizen	8/24	43	42	-1	52.0	49.0	-3.0
6	Mason-Dixon	8/24	46	43	-3	51.0	49.0	-2.0
7	Florida Atlantic U.	8/22	44	39	-5	52.5	47.5	-5.0
8	St. Leo U.	8/18	46	38	-8	54.1	45.9	-8.2
9	Monmouth U.	8/15	48	43	-5	50.8	45.2	-5.6
Georgia						Adjusted:	R	+9.1
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Isakson)	Democrat (Barksdale)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Isakson)	Democrat (Barksdale)	Spread (D-R)
1	Marist	9/8	53	38	-15	57.2	42.9	-14.3
2	Abt SRBI Inc.	8/4	48	42	-6	50.7	44.3	-6.4
3	SurveyUSA	7/31	48	39	-9	52.1	43.0	-9.1
4
5
6
7
8
9
Illinois						Adjusted:	D	+4.4
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Kirk)	Democrat (Duckworth)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Kirk)	Democrat (Duckworth)	Spread (D-R)
1	Normington Petts	8/4	37	44	7	51.6	48.4	-3.2
2	GS Strategy Group	3/31	40	43	3	44.0	56.0	+12.0
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Indiana						Adjusted:	D	+6.2
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Todd Young)	Democrat (Evan Bayh)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Todd Young)	Democrat (Evan Bayh)	Spread (D-R)
1	Public Opinion Strategies (POS)	9/8	40	44	4	44.6	50.5	+5.9
2	Monmouth U.	8/16	41	48	7	44.8	51.2	+6.4
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Iowa						Adjusted:	R	+9.0
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Grassley)	Democrat (Judge)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Grassley)	Democrat (Judge)	Spread (D-R)
1	RABA Research	9/8	50	37	-13	56.5	43.5	-13.0
2	Emerson College	9/1	51	40	-11	53.4	43.7	-9.7
3	PPP	8/31	49	43	-6	52.9	47.1	-5.8
4	YouGov	8/19	45	38	-7	53.3	44.7	-8.6
5	Quinnipiac	8/16	51	42	-9	53.7	45.4	-8.3
6	Suffolk U.	8/10	52	42	-10	55.4	44.7	-10.7
7	Marist	8/7	52	42	-10	54.2	44.9	-9.3
8
9
Kansas						Adjusted:	R	+16.1
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Moran)	Democrat (Wiesner)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Moran)	Democrat (Wiesner)	Spread (D-R)
1	SurveyUSA	9/11	50	34	-16	55.6	39.5	-16.1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Kentucky						Adjusted:	R	+15.5
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Rand Paul)	Democrat (Jim Gray)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Rand Paul)	Democrat (Jim Gray)	Spread (D-R)
1	Babbage Cofounder	8/4	59	41	-19	59.3	40.7	-18.6
2	Harper	8/1	50	38	-12	56.7	44.4	-12.3
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Louisiana						Adjusted:	R	+13.0
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Kennedy)	Democrat (Campbell)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Kennedy)	Democrat (Campbell)	Spread (D-R)
1	Remington	8/30	51	27	-24	56.5	43.5	-13.0
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Maryland						Adjusted:	D	+29.5
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Szeliga)	Democrat (Van Hollen)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Szeliga)	Democrat (Van Hollen)	Spread (D-R)
1	OpinionWorks	8/30	26	55	29	35.3	64.8	+29.5
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Missouri						Adjusted:	R	+3.7
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Blunt)	Democrat (Kander)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Blunt)	Democrat (Kander)	Spread (D-R)
1	Remington	9/2	47	40	-7	50.3	49.8	-0.5
2	PPP	8/27	47	43	-4	51.9	48.1	-3.8
3	Monmouth U.	8/22	48	43	-5	51.8	46.2	-5.6
4
5
6
7
8
9
Nevada						Adjusted:	R	+1.3
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Heck)	Democrat (Cortez Masto)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Heck)	Democrat (Cortez Masto)	Spread (D-R)
1	Monmouth U.	9/13	46	43	-3	48.3	44.7	-3.6
2	Marist	9/8	47	45	-2	50.7	49.4	-1.3
3	PPP	9/7	41	42	1	48.9	50.1	+1.2
4	Suffolk U.	8/17	37	37	0	45.9	45.2	-0.7
5
6
7
8
9
New Hampshire						Adjusted:	R	+0.2
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Ayotte)	Democrat (Hassan)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Ayotte)	Democrat (Hassan)	Spread (D-R)
1	Marist	9/8	52	44	-8	53.7	46.4	-7.3
2	Emerson College	9/5	48	46	-2	50.4	49.7	-0.7
3	PPP	8/31	44	47	3	48.4	51.6	+3.2
4	UNH	8/28	42	44	2	48.9	49.2	+0.3
5
6
7
8
9
New York						Adjusted:	D	+36.3
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Long)	Democrat (Schumer)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Long)	Democrat (Schumer)	Spread (D-R)
1	Emerson College	8/30	23	60	37	28.4	66.7	+38.3
2	Siena	8/10	24	63	39	30.4	69.7	+39.3
3	Quinnipiac	7/17	28	60	32	33.2	65.9	+32.7
4
5
6
7
8
9
North Carolina						Adjusted:	R	+2.3
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Burr)	Democrat (Ross)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Burr)	Democrat (Ross)	Spread (D-R)
1	Quinnipiac	9/7	49	43	-6	52.7	47.4	-5.3
2	Suffolk U.	9/7	41	37	-4	49.4	44.7	-4.7
3	YouGov	9/2	40	41	1	49.3	48.7	-0.6
4	Emerson College	8/29	45	41	-4	48.4	45.7	-2.7
5	PPP	8/27	46	43	-3	51.9	49.1	-2.8
6	Monmouth U.	8/23	45	43	-2	49.3	46.7	-2.6
7	Opinion Research (CNN)	8/23	50	45	-5	51.5	46.6	-4.9
8	Marist	8/10	44	46	2	48.2	50.9	+2.7
9
North Dakota						Adjusted:	R	+35.0
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Hoeven)	Democrat (Glassheim)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Hoeven)	Democrat (Glassheim)	Spread (D-R)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Ohio						Adjusted:	R	+10.7
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Portman)	Democrat (Strickland)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Portman)	Democrat (Strickland)	Spread (D-R)
1	Opinion Research (CNN)	9/12	58	37	-21	59.0	38.1	-20.9
2	Selzer	9/12	53	36	-17	56.5	39.5	-17.0
3	Quinnipiac	9/7	51	40	-11	54.7	44.4	-10.3
4	PPP	8/27	48	39	-9	54.4	45.6	-8.8
5	Emerson College	8/27	40	25	-15	51.9	38.2	-13.7
6	Monmouth U.	8/21	48	40	-8	52.3	43.7	-8.6
7	YouGov	8/19	46	39	-7	52.3	43.7	-8.6
8
9
Oregon						Adjusted:	D	+30.0
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Callahan)	Democrat (Wyden)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Callahan)	Democrat (Wyden)	Spread (D-R)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Pennsylvania						Adjusted:	D	+0.3
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Toomey)	Democrat (McGinty)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Toomey)	Democrat (McGinty)	Spread (D-R)
1	Quinnipiac	9/7	46	45	-1	49.2	48.9	-0.3
2	YouGov	9/2	39	39	0	49.8	48.2	-1.6
3	PPP	8/31	41	44	3	48.4	51.6	+3.2
4	Franklin & Marshall	8/29	38	43	5	46.8	52.2	+5.4
5	Monmouth U.	8/29	41	45	4	45.3	48.7	+3.4
6	GBA Strategies	8/28	42	47	5	44.2	47.9	+3.7
7	Emerson College	8/28	46	39	-7	50.4	44.7	-5.7
8
9
South Carolina						Adjusted:	R	+22.4
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Tim Scott)	Democrat (Dixon)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Tim Scott)	Democrat (Dixon)	Spread (D-R)
1	Starboard Comms.	9/9	58	22	-36	62.0	34.0	-28.0
2	PPP	8/10	45	28	-17	54.9	38.1	-16.8
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
South Dakota						Adjusted:	R	+30.0
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Thune)	Democrat (Williams)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Thune)	Democrat (Williams)	Spread (D-R)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Utah						Adjusted:	R	+29.8
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Mike Lee)	Democrat (Snow)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Mike Lee)	Democrat (Snow)	Spread (D-R)
1	PPP	8/21	51	21	-30	60.9	31.1	-29.8
2	Dan Jones & Assocs.	8/4	57	22	-35	63.5	27.6	-35.9
3	SurveyUSA	6/8	51	37	-14	55.1	41.0	-14.1
4
5
6
7
8
9
Washington						Adjusted:	D	+17.5
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Vance)	Democrat (Murray)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Vance)	Democrat (Murray)	Spread (D-R)
1	Elway	8/13	34	52	18	41.3	58.8	+17.5
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Wisconsin						Adjusted:	D	+8.2
	Pollster	Last day in field	Republican (Johnson)	Democrat (Feingold)	Spread (D-R)	Republican (Johnson)	Democrat (Feingold)	Spread (D-R)
1	Monmouth U.	8/30	41	54	13	42.8	55.2	+12.4
2	Marquette	8/28	42	45	3	45.5	48.6	+3.1
3	PPP	8/27	42	49	7	46.4	53.6	+7.2
4
5
6
7
8
9